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Section 1: CPO Price Trend:
2018 CPO Price Trend Amidst Changing Global Oils and Fats Scenario
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By: Dr. Sathia Varqa
Dr. Sathia Varqa is the owner and co-founder of Palm Oil Analytics (POA), an online publisher of palm oil daily news, price, data and analysis based in Singapore, serving global commodity markets.
POA publishes two daily reports a day covering price assessments analysis of key data and market commentary.
Sathia has been in the commodity information business for over 20 years, and owns POA together with a veteran palm oil broker with over 30 years’ experience.
Sathia previously worked for S&P Global Platts, a division of S&P Global (previously McGraw-Hill Finance) based in Singapore.
He holds a BA (Business Studies), Master degree in International Trade (Distinction) and a PhD in political economy from The Robert Gordon University, Aberdeen, Scotland. VIEW PROFILE
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The fundamental factor animating palm market in 2017 is low production underpinned by low yields, against high expectation of rebound in post El-Nino. Production did not rise, expectations were not met but our understanding of the market got better and deeper than the previous year. An understanding that prices are governed not just by supply, demand, weather and sentiment variables, but also by the notion that markets are highly complex and can be irrational at times. 2018 is another year of expectation of higher production from lackluster levels seen in 2017, while prices are predicted to bounce higher from current levels supported by improvement in export market. Will 2018 be better than 2017? While this optimistic expectations are valid, there are challenges ahead in 2018; sustainability, tariff and non-tariff barriers, competition from soybean oil, uninspiring biodiesel market and weakness in export are some of them. This presentation will look into the prospects and challenges for the palm market in 2018.
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| Section 1: CPO Price Trend |
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| Archives |
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Section 2: Global Palm Oil Market Focus
Aug 06, '18 ~ Aug 12, '18 |
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Section 1: CPO Price Trend
Aug 06, '18 ~ Aug 12, '18 |
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Section 2 : Global Palm Oil Market Focus
Jan 29, '18 ~ Feb 04, '18 |
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Section 1: CPO Price Trend
Jan 29, '18 ~ Feb 04, '18 |
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Section 1: Palm Oil Price Fundamentals
Aug 21, '17 ~ Aug 27, '17 |
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Section 2: Regional Focus : CIS Countries
Aug 21, '17 ~ Aug 27, '17 |
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Section 2: Market Challenges and Opportunities
Feb 20, '17 ~ Feb 26, '17 |
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Section 1: Price Directions
Feb 20, '17 ~ Feb 26, '17 |
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Section 2 : Trade Issues and Market Prospects
Aug 22, '16 ~ Aug 28, '16 |
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Section 1 : Palm Oil Price Fundamentals
Aug 22, '16 ~ Aug 28, '16 |
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2016 Market Direction - Twists and Turns of Palm Oil Prices
Feb 22, '16 ~ Feb 29, '16 |
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Special Focus: Indian Sub-Continent
Aug 17, '15 ~ Aug 23, '15 |
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Second Half 2015 - Anticipating Market Price Direction
Aug 17, '15 ~ Aug 23, '15 |
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Opportunities, Challenges And Trend In 2015 CPO Price
Feb 23, '15 ~ Mar 01, '15 |
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2nd Half 2014: Market Challenges, Predictions And Directions
Aug 25, '14 ~ Aug 31, '14 |
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Anticipating 2014 Palm Oil Price Direction
Feb 17, '14 ~ Feb 24, '14 |
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Prospects For Second Half Of 2013 - Managing Price Fluctuations
Jul 22, '13 ~ Jul 29, '13 |
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Mapping The Palm Oil Price - 2013 Market Perspective
Feb 18, '13 ~ Feb 27, '13 |
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Palm Oil : Challenges, Opportunities And Latest Market Directions
Aug 06, '12 ~ Aug 17, '12 |
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2012 Price Direction, Issues & Challenges
Feb 13, '12 ~ Feb 20, '12 |
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Challenges, Opportunities And Latest Price Trend
Aug 08, '11 ~ Aug 16, '11 |
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Challenges, Opportunities And Price Direction
Feb 07, '11 ~ Feb 17, '11 |
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2010 Year End Prospects - What Lies Ahead?
Aug 02, '10 ~ Aug 08, '10 |
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Hi Anthony, Thanks for your question. Latest Chinese palm oil stocks are near 700K, at 653K. The highest volume is usually peaks in May. In May 2017 it was 645K in May 2016 it was 692K. In 2018 Jan we are already near 700K, so I think China will slowdown buying now, despite the Lunar New Year.
1 year ago