Palm Oil Internet Seminar

Section 1: CPO Price Trend:
China's Palm Oil Import Outlook in 2018
By: Mr. Cai Neng Bin

He is the General Manager of Shanghai Pansun Company. His roles and responsibilities in the company are analyzing oilseeds and oils and fats market information, with main emphasis given on systematic data analysis and make judgement on market trading pattern. He is also able to gauge the change of medium to long market trends of agricultural products, and provides trading and hedging strategies through capturing price differences arises from logical error within markets, and between different products and months.
The paper will first highlight the current focal points or factors influencing the oils & fats trading in the Chinese market. Subsequently, the assessment on oils & fats supply-demand balance, soybean import cost and volume (taking into consideration on the effect from US-China Trade War) and soybean oil demand and stock balance. This is then led to the effect of soybean oil and soybean meal (with latest assessment on the growth of animal protein demand) demand and subsequently the crushing activities in China.

The paper will later analyse the impact of palm oil import on the stock level in China, as well as the consequences of palm oil import margin and demand on the overall trading activities in the futures and physical markets. Last but not least, some updates on the situation of temporary state reserve rapeseed oil which has more or less being fully disposed into the market. Then, we will look at the import of rapeseed and rapeseed oil and its impact on the oils & fats market. Finally, the effect of price spread among soybean oil, rapeseed oil and palm oil on the demand will be analysed, with conclusion focusing on the highlighting the change in overall trading pattern of oils & fats in China.

The full report will only be available from Aug 06, 2018 onwards.
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