Sponsors

Bursa Malaysia

Kulim (Malaysia) Berhad

 

POINTERS 2014 MPOC
Palm Oil Internet Seminar
0

Challenges, Opportunities And Price Direction:
An Analysis of Palm Oil Production in Malaysia
By: Mr. Ramli Abdullah

He graduated in the fields of Statistics and Computer Science. This gives him a multiple background to serve as a researcher/modeler at PORIM/MPOB for the past twenty years. He carried out researches related to modeling of oils and fats using statistics as a tool. With the aids of models, he is a forecaster for MPOB, especially for production and price of palm oil and other oils and fats. With his knowledge, he wrote a number of papers and published them in journals. He also participated in lectures, local and international seminars/conferences. He presented papers at KLCE palm oil outlook seminar, and PIPOC international conferences in 2007 and 2009. He had actively presented papers in China in promoting palm oil to the Chinese traders for the past five years. This participation had increased awareness and interest among the Chinese in consuming more palm oil which ultimately increased their imports of palm oil from Malaysia.
VIEW PROFILE
Full Report and Presentation Slides are available for download from 7 February 2011 until 17 February 2011 only!


Download Report Download Slides
Please login to post Question & Answer;
Questions & Answers (15) :
Rianto Sitanggang
6 years ago
Hi Mr.Ramli Abdullah, I heard some people forecast that Malaysia production from November to December 2011 will decline drastically (up to double digits down) due to La Nina effect and because production has been peak from July to October. How do you see the production on the last 2 months of this year (Nov-Dec)? We are forecasting of 12% down for Nov, and 10% down for December compared to Nov. What's the number from your side? Thank you very much.
Rianto Sitanggang
6 years ago
Hi Mr.Ramli Abdullah, I heard some people forecast that Malaysia production from November to December 2011 will decline drastically (up to double digits down) due to La Nina effect and because production has been peak from July to October. How do you see the production on the last 2 months of this year (Nov-Dec)? We are forecasting of 12% down for Nov, and 10% down for December compared to Nov. What's the number from your side? Thank you very much.
Rianto Sitanggang
6 years ago
Hi Mr.Ramli Abdullah, I heard some people forecast that Malaysia production from November to December 2011 will decline drastically (up to double digits down) due to La Nina effect and because production has been peak from July to October. How do you see the production on the last 2 months of this year (Nov-Dec)? We are forecasting of 12% down for Nov, and 10% down for December compared to Nov. What's the number from your side? Thank you very much.
Rianto Sitanggang
7 years ago
Mr Benny, Thanks for the question. Yes Feb output is always the minm and is the trough. In my paper, the seasonal index is the smallest. The forecast is about 1.1 million tonnes for feb and 1.3 for Mar - so it is a +ve growth mth to mth.
Benny Lee
7 years ago
Dear En. Ramli, From the statistics, we see palm oil supply is normally the lowest in Feb. Do you have production forecast for February. What about March, do you think there will be positive month-on month growth or negative, and what are your estimation for March? Thanks.
Benny Lee
7 years ago
Mr Chew, this happened also to Dinesh Khana on 8 feb. According to the st, this could be the problem of yr internet connection speed. Pl be patient and wait until the brower finish download.
Chew Poh Soon
7 years ago
I cannot download the report or presentation slides. Message "Unexpected broken type' appears. This also occured with the other papers I tried to download from. Kindly fix and if past the deadline, kindly advise w to access the papers etc
Chew Poh Soon
7 years ago
pl define current - the current month of Jan or the current year. if current means Jan the prodn is 1.06 million tonnes. If you mean current year, the forecast production is expected to be 17.59 million tonnes. April to Oct is the period where prodn is normally uptrending reaching the peak either sep, or oct. During this period also, price is normally declining due to high production. I pe I answer your question.
Silambarasan
7 years ago
Shall I know current palm oil production in Malaysia? And I heard that "The palmoil production cycle: April - December is peak production period. So in that time palm oil prices will decreases"- thats true or not......... Thanks
Silambarasan
7 years ago
mr silambarasan, to my knowledge, it is not only india fixes palm oil price or any other commodities. Most countries, regardless of exporting or importing countries, will fix or gazette their prices for their economic reasons. such as avoinding under-declaring by exporters or importers. In this case, the exporters or importers will have one price for the income of their country.
Silambarasan
7 years ago
Shall i know w the India fixes the Palm oil price?
Administrator
7 years ago
Hai Dinesh Khanna.. You must wait until the browser finish download. This is something to do with your internet connection speed!
Administrator
7 years ago
Hai Dinesh, Yr prob will be taken care of. If you still can not open it pl inform me thru my email (ramlia@mpob.gov.my) - I can send to you the slides. Salam Y Bhg Tan Sri, The forecast of Malaysian CPo prodn in 2011 is about 17.59 million tonnes - a recovery from last year and will be back to its normal track based on an increase in matured areas. The effect of replanting is minimal. If bad weather persists in 2011 (which is still unsure), the forecast might be lower. For 2012, the forecast is 18.62 million tonnes.
Dinesh Khanna
7 years ago
this message is coming when opening slides, bad encrypt dictonary ! i am not able to open the slides. w to solve this problem. can you help . dinesh
Yusof Basiron
7 years ago
What is your forecast of palm oil production in Malaysia in 2011and 2012 if available?
3,451 registered users
2 currently online
Members' Login
Username
Password  
    Remember me
    LOGIN
    Forgot Password?
Recent Comments
“raid@soonsoongroup.com”
- Mohamad Raid Majzoub
“Hi, PKO prices. Thank you. ”
- Mohamad Raid Majzoub
Archives
© 2017 Malaysian Palm Oil Council (MPOC). All Rights Reserved. For enquiries please contact info@pointers.org.my