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Section 1 : CPO Price Trend
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POINTERS ON THE PRICE TRENDS
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POINTERS
ORGANIZED BY:
Palm Oil : Challenges, Opportunities And Latest Market Directions:
South America Soybean Production Outlook and Its Impact on the Vegetable Oils Prices
Mr. Marcelo Duarte Monteiro
Mr. Marcelo Duarte Monteiro holds a Masters Degree in Commerce (Agriculture) from Lincoln University (New Zealand), with First Class Honours, an MBA from Fundação Getúlio Vargas (FGV) and a bachelor’s degree in Business Administration (UFMT). Marcelo also attended an executive education program for agribusiness executives at Harvard University. Mr. Duarte Monteiro worked as an executive in one of Brazil’s largest corporations around the main regions of Brazil for five years and is the executive director of Aprosoja (Mato Grosso State Soybean and Corn Growers Association) since 2006. As part of his role at Aprosoja, he coordinates staff, manages projects and programs, takes care of member relations, and actively represents Aprosoja, dealing with government, organizations, companies, and press, both nationally and internationally. Marcelo also coordinates trade missions to Asia, USA and Europe and has spoken in international conferences in China, USA, Brazil and Argentina. Member of the Soybean Chamber of the Ministry of Agriculture (MAPA), of the COSAG - Superior Council of Agribusiness at FIESP (Industry Federation of São Paulo State), of the Ag Finance Committee of ABAG (Brazilian Agribusiness Association), of the External Advisory Board for the ADM Institute at the University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign and former member of the Corn and Soybean Chamber of the Brazilian Mercantile Exchange (BM&F/BOVESPA).
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Brazil is currently the second largest soybean producer and exporter and responds to nearly one third of the world’s total soybean production. Brazilian soybean production is highly efficient, sustainable and occupies only 3% of the country’s territory. International specialists agree that it is just a matter of time for this South American country to become the next world leader in production and exports of this commodity. The current study aimed to analyze the key soybean production issues and scenarios for Brazil. The method used was literature review, database analyses and personal experience. The study begins identifying the characteristics and figures of soybean production in Brazil. It follows with the analyses of the key challenges and opportunities for soybean production in Brazil. Finally, forecasts for the next 10 years are shown and analyzed.



Results show that even though there are constraints and challenges, there is significant potential for soybean production increase in Brazil. However, improvements in transportation systems and legislation are necessary in order to provide incentives for farmers to increase production.
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