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POINTERS
ORGANIZED BY:
Special Focus: Indian Sub-Continent :
Edible Oil & Oilseeds in 2015: Tsunami of Supplies or Calm Before Storm
Ali Muhammad Lakdawala

Ali Muhammad Lakdawala : Procurement in charge for Edible Oils & Fats at India’s premier FMCG conglomerate, ITC Ltd, India.

Prior to joining ITC Ltd, he worked as a Senior Commodity Research Analyst and Trader at Anand Rathi Commodities Ltd, India the only analyst given the opportunity to operate with three different commodity verticals (Energy Market, Edible Oil & Oilseeds and Spices). Previous work experience also includes as Research Analyst with renowned organization, Unit Trust of India (UTI) Commodities.

This culminated in numerous international report publications, being quoted in various business press (Bloomberg, Dowjones, Reuters, Economic Times, Platts, etc), and invited as a Guest Speaker for Commodity Markets & Commodity Risk Management at various National & International Conferences and a Visiting lecturer at Mumbai University India.

An invited Member of : - Solvent Extractors Association of India (SEA of India) - Imported Vegetable Oil Processors Council - Indian Vegetable oil Producers Association (IVPA) - Steering Committee

Paper presented at various national & international forum on Commodities that specialises "looking beyond fundamentals for price direction”.

Education - A Commerce Graduate with Masters in Management Studies (Specialization in Finance: Rank Holder in Economics) from Mumbai University (India) and Diploma holder in Supply Chain Management - from the Confederation of Indian Industry (CII).

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2014 was very volatile year for edible oil & oilseeds on account of weather vagaries and black swan events which had kept markets under influence of VUCA or Super VUCA conditions.

However, 2015 is no different as market continues to remain influenced by such outside factors.

Adding fuel to the fire has been the supply side pressure which has been looming around for long time now. Resultant of which price has seen terminal decline since 2013 and hovering at levels witnessed during recessionary period of 2009.

So, is it the case that market will witness Tsunami of Supplies (sharp fall in prices) or Calm before Storm (Prices gearing up for fresh upside)???

Paper will discuss on prevailing VUCA conditons (global growth, weather uncertainty, food v/s fuel) , analysing the market structure of edible oil complex (producers and consumers side) with especial focus in India and thereafter estimating the price forecasts for Palm Oil.
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