Archive
2022
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05 - 11 Apr 2021
Section 1: Price Direction
05 - 11 Apr 2021
Section 2 : Special Focus on the US
18 - 24 Oct 2021
Section 1: Oils & Fats Supply, Demand and Outlook
18 - 24 Oct 2021
Section 2: Opportunities for Palm Oil in Asian Market
2020
24 Feb - 01 Mar 2020
Section 1 : CPO Price Trend
24 Feb - 01 Mar 2020
Section 2: Global Palm Oil Market Opportunities
22 - 28 Jun 2020
POINTERS ON THE PRICE TRENDS
2019
2018
29 Jan - 04 Feb 2018
Section 1: CPO Price Trend
29 Jan - 04 Feb 2018
Section 2 : Global Palm Oil Market Focus
06 - 12 Aug 2018
Section 1: CPO Price Trend
06 - 12 Aug 2018
Section 2: Global Palm Oil Market Focus
2017
2016
22 - 29 Feb 2016
2016 Market Direction - Twists and Turns of Palm Oil Prices
22 - 28 Aug 2016
Section 1 : Palm Oil Price Fundamentals
22 - 28 Aug 2016
Section 2 : Trade Issues and Market Prospects
2015
2014
2013
2012
2011
2010
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POINTERS
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Section 1: Price Directions:
Palm Oil Market Analysis: Factors that Influence Trade and Prices
Ms. Ivy Ng

Ivy Ng is currently the Regional Head of Plantations and Head of Malaysia Research in CIMB. She is a CFA charterholder and holds a BSc in Economics from the London School of Economics. She has been covering the palm oil sector since the mid-90s and expanded her coverage to include the regional palm oil companies since 2005.

She joined CIMB in 2005 and currently covers regional plantations and conglomerates. Ivy has been an investment analyst since 1994, with prior stints in Affin-UOB, Peregrine Research, Hwang-DBS Securities and GK Goh Research.

Ivy was ranked number one by Asiamoney polls in the Malaysian industrial sector in 2014 to 2016 and utilities sector in 2007 and 2008. She was also voted Malaysia’s best power analyst in 2007 and best plantation analyst in 2008 by The Edge.

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This paper will discuss the various factors that are expected to influence CPO price direction and in turn palm oil trades in 2017.

In 2016, CPO price climbed 46% to end the year at RM3,202.5 per tonne as palm oil supply was negatively impacted by the El Nino event in 2015.

We project CPO prices to trade in the RM3,000-3,300 per tonne range in Feb 2017.
However, the current high CPO price may not be sustainable in 2H17, as palm oil supply is expected to rebound on the back of higher FFB yields.

The main bullish factors for prices continue to be the weak ringgit, low stockpiles, seasonally lower palm oil output and higher biodiesel mandates in Indonesia.

Factors currently capping CPO price upsides are further release of rapeseed oil stocks by the Chinese government, competition from soybean oil and slower global economic growth.
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