Archive
2022
2021
05 - 11 Apr 2021
Section 1: Price Direction
05 - 11 Apr 2021
Section 2 : Special Focus on the US
18 - 24 Oct 2021
Section 1: Oils & Fats Supply, Demand and Outlook
18 - 24 Oct 2021
Section 2: Opportunities for Palm Oil in Asian Market
2020
24 Feb - 01 Mar 2020
Section 1 : CPO Price Trend
24 Feb - 01 Mar 2020
Section 2: Global Palm Oil Market Opportunities
22 - 28 Jun 2020
POINTERS ON THE PRICE TRENDS
2019
2018
29 Jan - 04 Feb 2018
Section 1: CPO Price Trend
29 Jan - 04 Feb 2018
Section 2 : Global Palm Oil Market Focus
06 - 12 Aug 2018
Section 1: CPO Price Trend
06 - 12 Aug 2018
Section 2: Global Palm Oil Market Focus
2017
2016
22 - 29 Feb 2016
2016 Market Direction - Twists and Turns of Palm Oil Prices
22 - 28 Aug 2016
Section 1 : Palm Oil Price Fundamentals
22 - 28 Aug 2016
Section 2 : Trade Issues and Market Prospects
2015
2014
2013
2012
2011
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POINTERS
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Section 1 : CPO Price Trend:
Changes of Oils & Fats S&D in China Under the Background of Easing US - China Trade Tension and African Swine Fever Outbreak
Mr. Cai Neng Bin
He is the General Manager of Shanghai Pansun Company. His roles and responsibilities in the company are analyzing oilseeds and oils and fats market information, with main emphasis given on systematic data analysis and make judgement on market trading pattern. He is also able to gauge the change of medium to long market trends of agricultural products, and provides trading and hedging strategies through capturing price differences arises from logical error within markets, and between different products and months.
VIEW PROFILE
1. Some relaxation of trade tensions between China and US looses soybean supply in China.

Soybean output is estimated to experience a steady growth with favorable weather in South America. Although policy uncertainty is expected to impact soybean importation from US and South America, increase in total import volume is limited.


2. Strong policy support helps the recovery of swine-raising activities but it still needs more time

The increase in quantity of live sows, releasing of state pork reserves and rising imports relieve the tight pork supply at the moment.
The fluctuation of poultry raising with limited room for improvement is able to ease the volatility of demand for seasonal soybean meals, where demand for soybean meals will be higher in 2H 2020.


3. Demand for soybean meal restricts soybean crushing

Although the soybean crushing profit improved, the uncertainty in recovery of soybean meal demand still restricts soybean crushing activity and manufacturers will control the soybean purchasing rhythm.


4. Tight oils & fats supply in China

China depends more heavily on imports. Oils & fats consumption becomes divided due to changing supply structure.


5. Oils & fats supply reduced and destocking in the first half 2020

Weak demand for soybean meal restrains soybean crushing. Poor profit of palm oil imports. Restricted policy on rapeseed and rapeseed oil imported from Canada.
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